Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Comic Book Bracket

The Proposition

Given our usual failings when it comes to picking a winning bracket for March Madness, would we have better luck using our knowledge of comic book characters and general nerdom to project out a bracket.

The Rules

To do this we first needed to assign a character to each team in the field based on either their mascot, their name or any other connection we felt spoke to us.  We divided the regions equally between us, Walter Kovacs taking the SOUTH and the WEST and Cain Marko taking the EAST and the MIDWEST.  After we had each finished we compared notes and made some changes. (Bulldog teams in particular were tricky because after Lockjaw the pickings get thin.) Both of us had to dig pretty deep into characters we’d never heard of before to fill some of the slots, but after a quick Wikipedia search we felt confident in our understanding of each character.

Once the teams we assigned we had to decide what the rules of the fight were.  After agreeing that it was a no holds barred dual, we decided that the higher seeded team would get to choose the battlefield.  This was a good decision as it produced a bit of a leveling effect and helped to keep us from choosing too many upsets (although, often times the power levels were so disparate that no choice of location would matter)

After the rules of the fight had been hashed out, we decided to split up each round.  With Kovacs playing out the first round (There are only 64 teams to us. No “First Four” games.  We’re both traditionalists at heart) and then Marko playing out the 2nd round, ect.  We each reserved the right to Veto any match where we didn’t agree with the outcome, but neither of us ever used that power.  It’s important to remember that it doesn’t matter if George Mason would lose to North Carolina 9 times out of 10; all that matters is that on March 19th, 2006 George Mason was better.  It is the same with our bracket.

The Teams

CM:
EAST
NC- Clayface
FGCU- American Eagle
USC- AJAX
Providence – Friar Tuck
Indiana – Clark Kent without his powers
Chattanooga- Steampunk Iron Man
Kentucky – Dr. Manhattan
Stony Brook – Teen Wolf
Notre Dame – Shamrock
Michigan – Guy Gardner
Tulsa – Hurricane (Dark Riders-mutant)
West Virginia – Sabertooth
SF Austin – Paul Bunyan  
Wisconsin – Badger
Pittsburg – Black Panther
Xavier – Professor X
Weber St. – Wildcat

MIDWEST
Virginia – Scott Summers
Hampton – Hector Barbosa Pirates of the Caribbean
Texas Tech – Lara Croft Tomb Raider
Butler – Alfred
Purdue –Jonah Hex
Little Rock - Queen Hippolyta
Iowa State – Red Tornado
Iona – Proteus (Kevin Mactaggart X-Men because he’s Scottish)
Seton Hall –Corsair
Gonzaga – Spike (From Tom and Jerry)
Utah – Apache Chief (I know they’re different tribes, but he’s cool and I like him)
Fresno State – Lock Jaw
Dayton – Angel (because all he can do is fly until Apocalypse shows up)
Syracuse – Aquaman
Michigan State – Wonder Woman
Middle Tennessee - Static Shock


WK:
SOUTH
Kansas- Jay Garrick
Austin Peay- The Governor (walking dead)
Colorado- Bison
UConn- Wolf  (young justice)
Maryland- Donatello Ninja Turtles
South Dakota- White Rabbit
Cal- Ursa Major
Hawaii- Rainbow Raider
Arizona - Tiger from Fievel Goes West
Wichita St- Shocker
Miami- Hurricane (Makkari)
Buffalo- Bullseye
Iowa- Hawkeye
Temple- Nite Owl
Villanova- Nova
UNC Asheville- Ash Ketchum

WEST
Oregon- Darkwing Duck
Southern University- Jaguar (DC)
Cincinnati- Black Cat
Baylor- Big Bear
Yale- Krypto
Duke- Nightcrawler
UNC Wilmington- Hawk of (Hawk and Dove)
Texas- Hellcow
Northern Iowa- Black Panther
Texas A&M- Poison Ivy
UW Green Bay- Phoenix
Oregon St. - Beavis
VCU- Aries
Oklahoma- Cable
CSU Bakersfield- Roadrunner









The First Round (because 64 teams is good enough)

Walter Kovacs:
EAST
NC- Clayface v FGCU- American Eagle- This could actually prove to be a close matchup, but with Clayface getting home court advantage, and choosing some sort of bog where he has access to overwhelming amount of malleable clay, American Eagle goes down.  Clayface Advances.
USC- AJAX v.Providence – Friar Tuck AJAX- and it’s not even close.  The Friar’s belly bump attack doesn’t even make a dent, even after AJAX chooses Sherwood Forrest just so that the kindly Friar feels at home while he gets thrashed.
Indiana – Clark Kent without his powers v. Chattanooga- Steampunk Iron Man- Clark Kent with no powers is still formidable due to his battle experience, and he’s smarter than he looks, and Steampunk Iron Man has definite limitations.  Clark chooses water-based environment to try to rust or limit Iron Man, but underneath the armor is still Tony Stark, and sans powers- Clark goes down.  SIM wins.
Kentucky – Dr. Manhattan v. Stony Brook – Teen Wolf- Dr. Manhattan understand matter down to a molecular level and has godlike powers.  Teen wolf can jump high and is prone to selfish behavior.  Dr. Manhattan wins instantly.
Notre Dame – Shamrock v. Michigan – Guy Gardner Shamrock would definitely need to get lucky to defeat Guy Gardner, but no matter the venue, and no matter how clever she is, the probability of her winning = 0.  Guy Gardner.
West Virginia – Sabretooth v. SF Austin- Paul Bunyan – This would be tough.  Paul is big and strong, and not unfamiliar in the wild, but Sabretooth would pick an environment that would maximize his ability to hide and use his other heightened senses.  Paul wouldn’t see him coming.  Sabretooth moves on.
Wisconsin – Badger v. Pittsburg – Black Panther- Not much Badger could do against the overwhelmingly more powerful Panther.  Black Panther moves on
Xavier – Professor X v. Weber St. – Wildcat- A real brains vs. brawns matchup.  As great a fighter Wildcat is, he wouldn’t be able to lay a glove on the Professor.

MIDWEST
Virginia – Scott Summers v. Hampton – Hector Barbosa Pirates of the Caribbean – Hector asks for it raw, and Scott gives it to him, destroying the pirate and a good chuck of the landscape as well.  Cyclops moves on.
Texas Tech – Lara Croft Tomb Raider v. Butler – Alfred- This would be a match for the ages.  Alfred’s got fighting experience, and guile.  Lara is very similar.  Ultimately, home court advantage, and Alfred’s chivalry and weakness for the ladies probably swing this Lara’s way.
Purdue –Jonah Hex v. Little Rock - Queen Hippolyta Hex would probably pick somewhere close to home, but none of his desert tracking/gun slinging ways will be able to bring down Hippolyta.
Iowa State – Red Tornado v. Iona – Proteus (Kevin Mactaggart X-Men because he’s Scottish)- It’s tough to imagine a 1st round exit for a mutant as powerful as Proteus, but he gets a REALLY bad draw here with Red Tornado.  Since Tornado is an android, he’d be resistant to getting his body taken over by Proteus, and Proteus is weak against metal in his psionic form.  Red Tornado has home field, and picks an environment to further limit Proteus’ abilities, and the Android wins the day.
Seton Hall –Corsair v. Gonzaga – Spike (From Tom and Jerry) – Sorry Spike, Corsair moves on.
Utah – Apache Chief (I know they’re different tribes, but he’s cool and I like him) v. Fresno State – Lock Jaw- Even with Apache Chief selecting the environs, Lock Jaw’s teleportation would make him too tough to stop.  Lock Jaw moves on.
Dayton – Angel (because all he can do is fly until Apocalypse shows up) v. Syracuse – Aquaman- This battle is the one most affected by the environment.  If Angel selects a tiny area with lots of open skies, and NO water, Aquaman loses a huge portion of his strength, and Angel has a fighting chance.  I’m giving to Angel by split decision.
Michigan State – Wonder Woman v. Middle Tennessee -  Static Shock This would be a GREAT round one battle.  But WW is great anywhere.  Static’s elemental attacks could have trouble in a rubber room or on the water.   WW takes the victory.

SOUTH
Kansas- Jay Garrick v. Austin Peay- The Governor (walking dead) The governor is evil, but the first flash is fast.  Jay moves on quickly.
Colorado- Bison v. UConn- Wolf  (young justice)- Wolf, although stronger and bigger than a normal wolf, wouldn’t be able to take down Bison, whose superhuman strength and environmental advantage give him the edge.
Maryland- Donatello Ninja Turtles v. South Dakota- White Rabbit- White rabbit is a minor character who uses rabbit gimmicks to try to take down opponents.  Donatello is the smartest of highly trained ninja turtles.  Donatello would pick a place that neutralizes her tech advantage, and then use his slight advantage in hand to hand combat to take her down- Pizza time!
Cal- Ursa Major v. Hawaii- Rainbow Raider – Ursa Major wins this.  With home cave advantage, Ursa minimizes the light that Rainbow Rider can use, and the strength advantage goes to the huge soviet bear.
Arizona - Tiger from Fievel Goes West v. Wichita St- Shocker- Sorry Tiger, but Shocker moves on.
Miami- Hurricane (Makkari) v. Buffalo- Bullseye- Technically immortal, Bullseye has his work cut out for him.  On the right playing field, Bullseye could probably use the things around him as deadly weapons to slow down the speedster, but Makkari moves too fast for Bullseye to take him out, and into the round of 32
Iowa- Hawkeye v. Temple- Nite Owl – This is a great matchup. Nite Owl has all the gadgets you could want, and Hawkeye is deadly with his bow.  Hawkeye would pick an environment where he would try to keep the fight at a distance, but Nite Owl brings Archie along, and ultimately takes down the Archer- Nite Owl moves on.
Villanova- Nova v. UNC Asheville- Ash Ketchum- Ash has all the elemental powers of the Pokémon he can call upon.  Nova has the stupid power of the Nova Corps.  Unfortunately, Nova gets to pick the venue.  In a sky battle, Nova fights off thunderbolts from Zappdos, and all of Ash’s Pokémon faint.  Nova moves on.

WEST
Oregon- Darkwing Duck v. Southern University- Jaguar (DC)- even though he is the shadow that lurks in the night, Jaguar’s heightened senses would make short work of Darkwing Duck.
Cincinnati- Black Cat v. St. Joe’s- GI Joe- Black Cat and her super soldier powers move her past even the best regular soldiers.
Baylor- Big Bear v. Yale- Krypto- Big Bear can alter the density of objects and Krypto is a dog with most of Superman’s powers.  Big Bear chooses a cave of Kryptonite, and takes the super dog down.
Duke- Nightcrawler v. UNC Wilmington- Hawk of (Hawk and Dove)- Nightcrawler’s teleportation and home field advantage send hawk back to Dove, and Nightcrawler moves on.
Texas- Hellcow v. Northern Iowa- White Tiger- Ava wears an amulet that gives her enhanced abilities, and allows her to take down the crazy cow.
Texas A&M- Poison Ivy v. UW Green Bay- Phoenix- Poison Ivy in a super garden of her choosing is NO match for even the weakest versions of the Phoenix force.  Phoenix moves on.
Oregon St.- Beavis v. VCU- Aries- Sorry Beavis, but Aries wins.
Oklahoma- Cable V. CSU Bakersfield- Roadrunner Meep. Meep.  Cable does what the Coyote never could and takes down the roadrunner.



The round of 32

Cain Marko:
NC- Clayface v  USC- AJAX After surviving a first round scare Clay face comes back strong and reminds everyone why he deserves a #1 seed.  Ajax throws everything he has at Clayface, but ultimately it doesn’t matter.
Chattanooga- Steampunk Iron Man v Kentucky – Dr. Manhattan Steampunk Iron Man is clever and resourceful, but as soon as Dr. Manhattan grows tired of Tony’s talk, this one is over.
Michigan – Guy Gardner v West Virginia – Sabretooth Sabertooth chooses they same location that served him so well last time, and he gets in a number of good hits on Guy, but after being shamed a couple times Guy levels the forest/mountain lights the whole field up in a bright green light and cages Sabertooth
Pittsburg – Black Panther v Xavier – Professor X Black Panther is smart enough to give Professor X a scare, but Professor X has chose the Mansion as his location and with Cerbro on it takes him only a moment to find and immobilize Panther.

Virginia – Scott Summers v Texas Tech – Lara Croft Tomb Raider In terms of power, Cyclops is clearly in the lead, but I don’t know of any location he could chose that Lara couldn’t turn to her advantage. Even if he chooses a flat field where he can use his range, I don’t think he could pull the trigger and hit a girl. Lara has no such compunctions.  The Tomb Raider advances.
Little Rock - Queen Hippolyta v Iowa State – Red Tornado Hippolyta’s magic is powerful, but once again Red Tornado lucks out with an ideal match up. Hippolyta’s Magic Girdle is useless. And Red Tornado advances again.   
Seton Hall –Corsair v Fresno State – Lock Jaw This is a tough one.  Close up Lockjaw wins hands down.  But Corsair chooses the environment and takes Lockjaw out to space where his advanced alien technology can be brought to bear. Lockjaw’s teleportation keeps in it up to the end, but ultimately Corsair is able to trick the beast and win the match.
Dayton – Angel v Michigan State – Wonder Woman Angel’s dream run comes to a sudden and painful end as Wonder Woman punches him through a sky scraper.

Kansas- Jay Garrick v Colorado- Bison Bison has the strength but Garrick has the speed and the experience to keep this one out of reach.
Maryland- Donatello Ninja Turtles v Cal- Ursa Major Ursa gets to choose the location, but even in the cold Donatello is too smart and too well trained for the Soviet Bear to really be a threat. 
Wichita St- Shocker v Miami- Hurricane (Makkari) Shocker has been a nice story so far but, in what we’ve come to expect from the most boring region, speed kills and Hurricane wins quickly.
Temple- Nite Owl v Villanova- Nova  The advantage in firepower and location clearly go to Nova, but he can’t overcome his arrogance and stupidity, Nite Owl catches him in a simple trap early and this one is over.

Southern University- Jaguar (DC) v Cincinnati- Black Cat  Jaguar can’t get past his golden age sensibilities and Black Cat uses her femininity like a scalpel to distract Jaguar and take the win.
Baylor- Big Bear v Duke- Nightcrawler Big Bear loses his home court advantage and Nightcrawler can just teleport through anything he doesn’t like.  It’s a match up nightmare for Big Bear and though the fight lasts a while, the outcome is never in doubt.  
Northern Iowa- White Tiger v UW Green Bay- Phoenix Once again, the sheer power of Phoenix is irresistible and White Tiger is lucky to be going home in one piece.
VCU- Aries v Oklahoma- Cable Aries is no match for Cable. The ultimate survivor waltzes into the Sweet 16 and a matchup with his mother (sort of?) without having been tested.

The Sweet 16

WK:
UNC- Clayface v. Kentucky- Dr. Manhattan- Clayface is powerful, and he continues to select his home court swamp as the fighting ground.  Dr. Manhattan looks around and vaporizes Clayface and the swamp in its entirety, and replaces it with a rose garden as he ponders the purpose of this competition and the meaninglessness of it all.
Michigan – Guy Gardner v. Xavier- Professor X- Guy has put up some remarkable fights to date, but no matter how much willpower he has- his strength matches up poorly against the world’s most powerful psychic.  Professor X convinces Guy to remove his own ring and hand it over.  He then makes Guy forfeit the match without a single punch being thrown.
Texas Tech- Lara Croft v. Iowa St- Red Tornado- Lara Croft’s run of miraculous luck continues here with what might be the closest battle in the round.  The android has a significant power advantage, and gets to choose the location.  He chooses a wide open plain where his powers will be most effective.  His weakness of trying to be human make him hesitate slightly to finish it quickly, and his logical, by the book style leaves him open to some clever, creative tricks and traps set by Lara.  In the end, it’s Lara’s mind, and determination that lead to the upset.
Seton Hall- Corsair v. MSU- Wonder Woman- Corsair is slick, but he loses the location advantage, and stuck fighting in Themescara, distracted by the other amazons, he’s quickly overpowered and outclassed. 
Kansas- Jay Garrick v. Maryland- Donatello- Jay Garrick forces Donatello above ground and out in the open.  Donatello’s prodigious ninja dexterity is no match for the speed and experience the first flash brings to the table.  Donatello gets shell shocked.
Miami- Hurricane (Makkari) v. Temple- Nite Owl- This was another battle that was extremely close.  Nite owl is clever, and if he got to choose a location that benefited him, that in and of itself would give him the victory, but fighting on Hurricane’s turf, Nite Owl reaches into his utility belt and doesn’t have anything that can help him call the name of the wind.  Setting up an all speedster elite 8 matchup.
Cincinnati- Black Cat v. Duke- Nightcrawler- Back to back nail biters… Black Cat is stronger and a better fighter.  Nightcrawler can teleport, and gets to pick the location.  In this instance, that matters.  Nightcrawler picks a dark area where Cat can’t even see him.  He pops in and out, and despite her physical superiority, Nightcrawler’s teleportation wins the day.
UW Green Bay- Phoenix v. Oklahoma- Cable- This is the ultimate match-up.  The Phoenix against her genetic offspring from the future.  Cable knows his power pales in comparison to the limitless energy the Phoenix possesses.  He also knows he has home court.  Using his time travel abilities, Cable sets the fight in the middle of the past showing the day a version of Jean Grey (Madalyn Pryor) gave birth to Nathan. Phoenix cries, and reverts back to her Jean Grey form where she surrenders, allowing her son to move on- unable to strike him due to (sort of) motherly instinct.


The Elite 8

CM:
Kentucky- Dr. Manhattan v Xavier- Professor X In the Elite 8 we finally get a matchup of true blue chip heroes. Every member of the original field of 64 crowds around to watch the big boys pound it out.  Professor X stays at the Mansion and Dr. Manhattan barely notices.  Dr. Manhattan has a formidable intellect, but it is only the work of a moment for Xavier to tap into Dr. Manhattan’s natural apathy.  The crowd is stunned when, just seconds after the match begins, Dr. Manhattan gets up and flies to Mars abandoning the field.  Professor X is named the victor and leaves the field before anyone even thinks to applaud.   
Texas Tech- Lara Croft v MSU- Wonder Woman The Tomb Raider has had a good run, but before the match Wonder Woman found out that Lara had desecrated the tomb of one of her Aunts.  After beating Croft up and down the field Wonder Woman catches Lara in the Lasso of Truth. Lara quickly taps before she is humiliated further.
Kansas- Jay Garrick v Miami- Hurricane (Makkari) In the battle of speedsters Garrick knows he’s out classed but he’s hoping to use his “old man” wits to keep it close and win at the end.  It’s doesn’t work.  Makkari blitzes him from start to finish.  Garrick is just fast enough to prolong the fight, but eventually Makkari closes the gap and ends it.
Duke- Nightcrawler v Oklahoma- Cable In a match up that has the X-Men Conference (XMC) commissioner parked in a luxury box smoking cigars, Cable chooses the desolate waste lands of his future as the battle ground.  Nightcrawler hits Cable over and over again taking advantage of his superior speed and teleportation to wear Cable down.  Cable keeps fighting though and never lets Nightcrawler take a break.  Over time the gaps between Nightcrawler’s teleportation’s begin to lengthen.  Sensing that Nightcrawler is weakening Cable steps up his attack.  Nightcrawler fights on gamely but once Cable has the edge it is only a matter of time.  After the longest battle of the tourney Cable finally gets a clean shot in on Nightcrawler and (as he should) stands alone on the field of battle.


The Final 4

WK:
Xavier- Professor X v. MSU- Wonder Woman - What a matchup, the leader of the X-men vs. one of the founding members of the justice league.  Professor X’s mental prowess has been on display throughout the tourney, but Wonder Woman has him outclassed in every single physical skill.  Finally away from his mansion and Cerebro boosting his powers- professor has to fight on a neutral field.  Still, his psychic powers are an absolute trump card.  Diana immediately falls to her knees beneath the psychic onslaught.  Out of desperation, she throws up her gauntlets- combined with the slight mental protection from her tiara, it’s just enough for her to throw her lasso of truth grabbing the professor, distracting him, and causing him to let his guard down for one second, as she pulls him towards her, and ends the fight in a viscous one-punch knock-out.
Miami- Hurricane (Makkari) v. Oklahoma- Cable- Cable’s a survivor as he’s shown throughout the competition, and he’s already taken down one supreme power, what’s one more.  Cable chooses the place for this throw down, and this time it’s a futuristic space ship engine room- the whole environment is set up to trap Makkari in a disintegration field while keeping him in confined space to minimize his ability to get up to speed.  Cable takes a beating, but ends up springing the trap, and winning the day.


The Championship

CM:
Oklahoma- Cable v MSU- Wonder Woman In this battle of 2 seeds Wonder Woman gets the first advantage of a neutral court.  Cable has survived this long on a combination of luck, planning and unwavering determination.  But in the finals it looks like the first two have finally run out.  Cable uses every trick he has to try to get an edge on Wonder Woman, but she’s trained as a warrior longer than he has and she’s already seen everything he has to offer.  Cable’s hanging with Wonder Woman but it’s looking more like Rocky v Apollo I.  Cable’s doing everything he can to stay on his feet and the crowd loves it.  Slowly the inevitable becomes obvious.  Wonder Woman, becoming more and more enraged my Cable’s refusal to quit and what she sees as his “male pride,” destroys most of Cable’s cybernetics.  In a final attempt to force his submission Wonder Woman grabs Cable’s left arm and rips it from its socket.  A hush falls over the crowd as Cable drops to his knees trying to stop the bleeding with his right hand.  Wonder Woman flies up preparing for one final punch.  Just inches from Cables head her whole body stops instantly.  By ripping off his arm Wonder Woman removed the Techno Virus from Cables body. Without the Techno Virus to fight Cable’s telekinetic powers were finally released.  Standing up slowly Cable draws his gun with his remaining hand, puts the barrel to Wonder Woman’s head and fires a single shot.  Cable wobbles but remains standing long enough to be declared the victor. Scott and Jean run out of the audience and catch Cable between them before he can fall. 


Okhlahoma - Cable

Thursday, March 10, 2016

The Evolution of Steph Curry

Cain Marko:  I’m not here to discuss his great handle, his court vision, his ability to finish at the hoop, or any of that.  I’m here to discuss what makes Steph Curry tick.

It’s shooting.

We’ve talked about this before, but if shooting is just a combination of muscle memory and hand eye coordination, then it’s surprising that no one has mastered the half court shot.  In this era of spacing you’d think some Blake Hoffarber-esk guy who can’t jump would spend a year of his life, practicing and practicing until he can hit 37% from half court.  You can’t tell me there isn’t room and a couple million dollars on an NBA bench for that. 

And then we come to Steph Curry, I don’t know the stats on his half court heaves, but he’s hitting one just about every other game. At some point it stops being a novelty and starts being a true weapon.  We’ve already seen this year that he’s as good from 3 or 4 feet behind the line as anyone else in the league is from three.  You have to go over every screen.  What happens when the start setting screens out on the logo?  Do you still have to go over the screen? 


Walter Kovacs:  You’re absolutely right.  He’s on a whole different level, and the implications are staggering.  What he’s doing right now is Ruthian.  Back in the 1920’s, everyone was hitting for singles, and the Babe was like, nah- I think I’ll go all the bases at once.  In 1920 Ruth hit 54 homers to lead the American league, and Cy Williams led the NL with 15.  In 1927- Ruth smacked 60, and Williams and Hack Wilson led the NL with 30. 

Right now Steph is just playing a different game.  I think we’ll remember him as someone who kicked off a new era of basketball- nodding their heads are all the AAU kids who are switching from practicing dunks to practicing shooting from long-range.  To me the real question is what happens to the game as a whole.  3 point attempts continue to go up, and Steph is the poster child.  As players like Steph make the 3 a higher percentage shot that’s also worth more- does the game shift to one that’s played mostly between the arcs?  Does the league take steps to counter it? 

Right now, Steph and Golden State have something unique going on.  To your point, last night he was BEING GUARDED out at the half court line, and still made the buzzer beater.  Everything about that is insane, and with range like that, you basically have to play him like that.  And that also opens things up for the team because of that fear.  I’m content to just watch and enjoy for now, but imagine if there were 6 Stephs in the league with unlimited range, or 20- which might not be unheard of since shooting is a skill that is more or less egalitarian (not everyone is able to fly like MJ, or be huge like Shaq, but anyone can practice shooting).  What would be the broader future implications?


CM: I absolutely agree.  After a season of 5th grade basketball, in which I fouled out of most games, my father, pulled me aside and said, “I know this is hard to hear, but there is a reason you come from a family of wrestlers.  You will never be Michael Jordan.”  And he was right.  But if Curry had existed then, who knows?  That dream would have been much more attainable.

Another thought I had.  Do you think anyone has calculated the defensive value of being a good three point shooting team?

Picture two scenarios: 

LeBron breaks into the paint, rises up avoiding contact, slams the ball in to the hoop, and then falls and skids to a stop against the padded back of the hoop. Warriors grab the ball and have it headed back down the court while LeBron is still on his back.  LeBron then has to get up and sprint back down to get into position. 

Conversely, the Warriors are kicking the ball around with 4 behind the arc and Bogut just standing there trying not to get in the way. Green sets a screen for Curry out beyond the 3 point line.  Curry rises up, shoots the ball and starts walking backward.  He’s at the top of the key before the ball even goes in the net.  And the whole team, except Bogut, are already back on the defensive side of the court, without even having to run.

Now Curry is nowhere near the defensive player LeBron is (or any of the top slashing wings) but a Curry who is already back in position without having to use any energy and with the defense already set up behind him is probably going to give up less points then a LeBron who is on the run. 

We see it time and time again.  Half court offense is hard.  Transition points are easy.  The longer 3s you can make, and the more people who are a threat to make them, the better your defense is.

That’s my theory at least.

I came up with it after watching this video of Curry’s 3 pointers against the Thunder. First, just watch how far back and how well covered he is when he shoots.  But then go back a second time and watch where Curry is when the ball goes in the hoop and watch where the rest of the Warriors are by the time the ball gets inbounded.



WK:  This is a very strong point.  I read/listen to a lot of Zach Lowe, and he has recently done some investigating into the lost art of offensive rebounding- teams are ignoring potential offensive boards to minimize transition points.  Yet another benefit of the 3 is longer rebounds that favor incidental offensive boards, and if not, assists transition D.  They’re probably presenting a paper on this at the Sloan Conference right now.